$ cat ./records/gates-warns-of-a-10-15-chance-of-a-major-pandemic-within-four-yea-2025.txt
Gates warns of a 10-15% chance of a major pandemic within four years
[RECORD.TXT] · cat --full
In January 2025 Bill Gates warned that the world remains underprepared for the next pandemic, estimating roughly a 10-15% chance of a major naturally caused pandemic within the following four years. Gates, who wrote the 2022 book 'How to Prevent the Next Pandemic' and proposed a global 'GERM' response team, argued that the world had not done enough since COVID-19 to build the surveillance, vaccine-manufacturing, and response capacity needed. He has pushed for distributed mRNA vaccine-production capacity in developing regions to hit a '100-day' goal for making vaccines in a future outbreak.
Source: https://fortune.com/2025/01/26/bill-gates-another-pandemic-odds-covid-not-prepared
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Related Accomplishments
June 2026
Melinda French Gates commits an additional $215 million to women's health through Pivotal
Melinda French Gates announced in June 2026 that she would donate an additional $215 million through her organization Pivotal to focus on women's reproductive and midlife health, bringing her total support for women's health to about $600 million over two years. The commitment underscored French Gates's independent philanthropic path since stepping down from the Gates Foundation in 2024 and her focus on areas she has said are chronically underfunded. It came amid broader cuts to U.S. reproductive- and global-health funding.
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Bill Gates publishes the 2026 Gates Foundation Annual Letter, 'Reaching 2045'
Bill Gates published the 2026 Gates Foundation Annual Letter, titled 'Reaching 2045,' framing the next two decades as the Foundation spends down its endowment before closing in 2045. Gates wrote that his optimism now 'comes with footnotes,' questioning whether global generosity will keep pace with rising wealth and whether innovation will be scaled to reduce inequality. He pledged to spend much of 2026 advocating for child-health funding and set a goal of again halving child mortality in the global South by 2045, while voicing both excitement about AI for health and concern about managing its disruption.
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